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🚪 KRC-20 Exit Risk Index

The capstone of the microstructure trilogy — the tape (real fills), the demand ledger (who's buying), and the sell-pressure ledger (who's queueing supply) joined into the one question every holder actually has: if you needed to sell today, could you get out? One A–F grade per token from four live on-chain pillars, plus a number nobody publishes: days-to-exit — how long a $1,000 position takes to clear at the demand rate the market actually printed.

Generated 2026-10-21T10:44:47.847Z · most recent ≤100 ops per token across top 24 tokens by holders (≥200); span varies per token · KAS $0.03868332

24tokens graded
20×F1A 0B 1C 2D
5tokens with zero fills
110real sales analyzed
123.9K KASsettled ($4.8K)
247dmedian time to exit $1,000

🚨 No exit observed: ZEAL · WOLFY · KANGO · SILVER · ANTX — zero completed marketplace sales in each token's entire op window (listings and cancels only). Whatever the quote says, nobody actually cashed out. Scores hard-capped at 20.

⚠️ 20 of 24 top tokens grade F on exit. Most of the KRC-20 market's paper value has no functioning door out — quotes exist, fills largely don't. Cross-check any token against the tape before assuming you can sell.

🚪 Exit risk board — riskiest first

Pillars (hover for detail): Fill evidence 30% — completed sales × recency · Demand breadth 30% — unique buyers minus top-buyer concentration · Supply overhang 20% — absorption of fresh asks · eXit capacity 20% — days to clear $1,000 at observed demand. ⛔ = zero completed sales in the window → score hard-capped at 20: a market with no fills has no proven exit. Exit $1,000 assumes you capture all of the token's demand — reality is worse. Whale exit = median top-10 position at quote ÷ same demand rate.

#GradeTokenScorePillarsFillsBuyersSold KASExit $1,000Whale exitLast fillWindow
1 F ZEAL ⛔
0
F
0
D
0
S
0
X
0
0 0 0 ∞ (no fills) 10y+ never 4.3d
2 F WOLFY ⛔
0
F
0
D
0
S
0
X
0
0 0 0 ∞ (no fills) 10y+ never 2.7d
3 F KANGO ⛔
0
F
0
D
0
S
0
X
0
0 0 0 ∞ (no fills) 10y+ never 17.7d
4 F SILVER ⛔
0
F
0
D
0
S
0
X
0
0 0 0 ∞ (no fills) 10y+ never 31.9d
5 F ANTX ⛔
0
F
0
D
0
S
—
X
0
0 0 0 ∞ (no fills) 10y+ never 7d
6 F GHOAD
1
F
4
D
0
S
0
X
0
1 1 181 10y+ 10y+ 34d ago 36.8d
7 F PPKAS
2
F
7
D
0
S
0
X
0
1 1 30.1 10y+ 10y+ 5d ago 77.8d
8 F TRUMP
3
F
8
D
0
S
1
X
0
2 1 252 10y+ 10y+ 109d ago 454.8d
9 F KREX
8
F
4
D
0
S
22
X
13
1 1 10.0K 51d 178d 17d ago 19.8d
10 F KASPER
9
F
8
D
9
S
21
X
0
2 2 1.3K 238d 4.6y 9d ago 12d
11 F KONAN
9
F
30
D
0
S
0
X
0
3 1 118.6 9.9y 10y+ <1d ago 16.5d
12 F KEKE
9
F
20
D
7
S
3
X
0
5 2 4.3K 247d 3.4y 20d ago 40.6d
13 F KEIRO
9
F
16
D
11
S
5
X
0
4 3 552 10y+ 10y+ 39d ago 146.7d
14 F KASBTC
12
F
10
D
0
S
27
X
20
1 1 639.5 36d 1.7y <1d ago 0.9d
15 F KCATS
12
F
28
D
9
S
3
X
0
7 3 149.6 10y+ 10y+ 87d ago 463.2d
16 F PEPE
13
F
24
D
0
S
29
X
0
6 1 3.2K 1.3y 8.4y 39d ago 58.6d
17 F PACMAN
20
F
32
D
4
S
47
X
0
8 3 9.1K 110d 1.3y 35d ago 38.9d
18 F BURT
20
F
36
D
2
S
45
X
0
9 3 3.3K 1.4y 1.9y 40d ago 63.9d
19 F KASPY
28
F
50
D
40
S
7
X
0
5 4 375 2.2y 10y+ <1d ago 11.6d
20 F SLOW
30
F
70
D
9
S
28
X
3
7 3 14.0K 80d 3.0y 2d ago 43.3d
21 D DOGK
37
F
40
D
50
S
41
X
10
10 5 25.8K 57d 1.1y 34d ago 57.3d
22 D NACHO
49
F
70
D
9
S
31
X
94
7 3 37.2K 1d 48d <1d ago 1.9d
23 C PLUTO
52
F
100
D
5
S
100
X
0
16 2 7.6K 106d 175d 1d ago 31.3d
24 A HUMPY
84
F
100
D
100
S
100
X
22
15 14 5.8K 33d 49d <1d ago 7.4d

📐 Methodology & honesty

  • A fill is a completed on-chain marketplace sale — a send op with price > 0 and different sender/receiver (KAS paid in sompi). Same op semantics the tape verified live against quotes before shipping. Quotes are ignored by the grade entirely: only what actually settled counts.
  • Days-to-exit assumes you get 100% of the demand. "Exit $1,000" = ($1,000 ÷ KAS price) ÷ (KAS/day of real settled sales in the window). Every other seller queueing (see the ask queue) competes with you — so the real number is worse, never better.
  • Whale exit uses the median top-10 position at the CURRENT quote. Where the quote itself is fantasy (see real cap), the position value — and therefore the horizon — is inflated; values above 10 years display as 10y+.
  • Zero fills → hard cap, not zero. A short window (span shown per token) can miss fills on a genuinely traded token — the cap (20) marks "no proven exit in the observable window", not "provably dead". Cross-check the tape.
  • Window: the most recent ≤100 accepted ops per token across the top 24 tokens by holder count (≥200); span varies per token and is shown. All numbers are window-local, not lifetime. Absorption compares flows inside the same window.
  • Supply-overhang pillar is excluded (not zeroed) when a token had neither listings nor sales; a fills-only window with no fresh asks scores it 100 (demand cleared everything visible). Token decimals come from each token's on-chain deploy record — never guessed.
  • Related: 🖨️ the tape · 🛒 demand ledger · 📉 sell pressure · 🛡️ the full audit — a token can grade A on trust and F here: community ≠ exit liquidity.
  • Live public data (Kasplex indexer + kaspa.com + api.kaspa.org) — observations, not accusations and not financial advice.